Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 9.427799 10.417181 11.477317 12.699597 14.072222 15.568648 17.327006
2025-10-05 8.016228 9.414194 11.019311 13.006661 15.412228 18.243637 21.848874
2025-10-12 7.009061 8.659531 10.667612 13.309655 16.722333 21.019737 26.900885
2025-10-19 6.148176 7.925589 10.196441 13.343659 17.644560 23.392230 31.783005
2025-10-26 5.425855 7.251858 9.684439 13.211086 18.274626 25.408429 36.447424
2025-11-02 4.835162 6.668397 9.201426 13.022505 18.755893 27.227470 41.053764
2025-11-09 4.342837 6.157386 8.746974 12.794547 19.114071 28.866197 45.584815
2025-11-16 3.949753 5.741915 8.375765 12.628577 19.516940 30.586386 50.464966
2025-11-23 3.638027 5.412117 8.091225 12.550298 20.026495 32.511335 55.952535
2025-11-30 3.450578 5.250719 8.042900 12.832114 21.143949 35.573055 63.923443
2025-12-07 3.205996 4.975252 7.784224 12.731025 21.582237 37.487627 70.042395
2025-12-14 2.953538 4.664284 7.437483 12.438437 21.636851 38.694707 74.946268
2025-12-21 2.753994 4.428383 7.201806 12.328262 22.034353 40.642345 81.806628
2025-12-28 2.662683 4.366400 7.255547 12.742679 23.469227 44.809692 94.198409
2026-01-04 2.568530 4.291017 7.278010 13.100019 24.837250 49.044045 107.604966
2026-01-11 2.438540 4.141633 7.154362 13.164567 25.622538 52.169995 119.060736
2026-01-18 2.295454 3.957237 6.950444 13.049581 26.018269 54.501985 129.047952
2026-01-25 2.157126 3.770838 6.726895 12.871349 26.254586 56.505263 138.610029
2026-02-01 2.025708 3.587512 6.494130 12.650220 26.368185 58.236825 147.815589
2026-02-08 1.912533 3.430367 6.299212 12.488276 26.593804 60.266888 158.296406
2026-02-15 1.818225 3.302549 6.151554 12.411937 27.006151 62.816676 170.859947
2026-02-22 1.769054 3.258541 6.166899 12.690707 28.290919 67.780893 191.892947
2026-03-01 1.684439 3.138736 6.018943 12.591130 28.644601 70.360061 206.089078